01OVERVIEW

At a glance

2-MINUTE SUMMARY

Minnesota is electing a new U.S. senator on November 3, 2026. Democratic Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan and Republican broadcaster Michele Tafoya are the major-party nominees for the seat Senator Tina Smith is leaving. Independent Marisa Simonetti and Libertarian Rebecca Whiting are also on the ballot. 3 8 13

PFPortrait of Peggy Flanagan
DEMOCRATIC–FARMER–LABOR

Peggy Flanagan

Lieutenant governor since 2019; previously served in the Minnesota House and Minneapolis school board. 9 10

Campaign website ↗
MTPortrait of Michele Tafoya
REPUBLICAN

Michele Tafoya

Former NBC NFL sideline reporter and four-time Sports Emmy winner; political commentator. 11 12

Campaign website ↗

Key differences

Abortion

Flanagan favors federal protections for abortion access. Tafoya describes herself as pro-choice, supports roughly first-trimester access, opposes taxpayer funding and favors conservative judicial nominees. 4 8

Immigration

Flanagan wants to dismantle and replace ICE and create a pathway to legal status. Tafoya emphasizes border enforcement and cooperation among federal, state and local authorities. 4 5 8

Costs & taxes

Flanagan favors expanded federal programs and greater taxation of high earners. Tafoya favors limiting spending, retaining tax cuts and reducing regulation. 6 7

Fraud

Flanagan proposes restoring federal watchdogs and ethics restrictions; Tafoya proposes federal penalties for inadequate state oversight and stronger fraud sentencing. 6 7

Social Security

Flanagan proposes lifting payroll-tax limits for higher earners. Tafoya promises to protect the program but did not specify a financing solution at the October 16 debate. 8

RECENT POLLING
47% — 43%

Flanagan / Tafoya
Mason-Dixon, Oct. 5–7 · 800 likely voters. See polling →

Examine the polls →
DETAILS

Full comparison

Compare the candidates on twelve issues, with sources.

Browse issues →
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02THE OFFICE

The senator’s role

Each state elects two senators to six-year terms. They represent the entire state in Washington and share responsibility for making federal laws with the U.S. House. Unlike the governor, a senator does not directly run state agencies or set Minnesota's budget. 1 2

01

Federal laws & taxes

Votes on national legislation, including taxes, immigration, health care, spending and federal criminal law. Both chambers must approve ordinary legislation.

02

Judges & appointments

Votes on confirmation of federal judges, Supreme Court justices, Cabinet officers and many other presidential nominees.

03

Investigations & oversight

Can investigate federal agencies, question officials in hearings and seek changes to federal funding and oversight rules.

04

War, treaties & security

Votes on defense funding and relevant war-powers measures; the Senate gives advice and consent to treaties and certain appointments.

05

Statewide representation

Advocates for Minnesota priorities such as farm exports, federal infrastructure, veterans' services and tribal obligations.

06

Not a unilateral decision-maker

Most legislation must pass both chambers and be signed by the president or survive a veto. Senate rules can also affect what reaches a vote.

The Senate generally requires 60 votes to end debate on most legislation, while nominations and some budget procedures are subject to different rules. No individual senator can promise to enact a law alone. 1 2

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03CANDIDATES

Candidates

Portrait of Peggy FlanaganPF
DEMOCRATIC–FARMER–LABOR

Peggy Flanagan

Peggy Flanagan grew up in St. Louis Park and graduated from the University of Minnesota in 2002. She served on the Minneapolis school board (2005–2009), worked at Wellstone Action and the Children's Defense Fund–Minnesota, and served in the Minnesota House from 2015 to 2018. Elected lieutenant governor alongside Tim Walz in 2018 and 2022, she has emphasized children, housing, tribal-state relations and families in her public work. 9 10

She has been involved in the administration's priorities, including school meals, child care, housing investments and paid family leave. These are achievements of the administration and Legislature, not unilateral actions of the lieutenant governor. 9 18 4

Official biography ↗
Portrait of Michele TafoyaMT
REPUBLICAN

Michele Tafoya

Michele Tafoya spent nearly three decades covering national sports, including NFL broadcasts for NBC. She worked her last Super Bowl broadcast in February 2022 after a career in which she won four Sports Emmy Awards and covered hundreds of nationally televised games. She subsequently worked as a political and cultural commentator. 11 12

Her 2026 Senate candidacy is her first run for elected office. Her campaign emphasizes government accountability, public safety, lower taxes and skepticism toward career politicians. Her professional achievements are primarily in broadcasting rather than legislative or executive government. 5 11 12

Candidate biography ↗
Other ballot-listed candidates: Independent Marisa Simonetti and Libertarian Rebecca Whiting. This initial deep-dive concentrates on the two major-party nominees; it is not an exhaustive candidate guide. Check the Secretary of State's official ballot lookup. 3 13 22
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04POLICY

Policy positions

Select an issue to compare the candidates’ positions. Sources appear with each comparison.

12 SUBJECTS
Federal budget

Economy, taxes & debt

Accountability

Fraud & government oversight

Reproductive law

Abortion & judicial nominations

Border and ICE

Immigration & federal enforcement

Federal benefits

Health care & Medicaid

Federal education

Schools, families & education

Public safety

Crime, policing & firearms

Seniors

Social Security & retirement

Minnesota business

Agriculture, tariffs & trade

Industry and utilities

Energy, climate & infrastructure

Security and treaties

War, foreign policy & military aid

Institutions

Elections, courts & term limits

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05POLLING

Polling

Two recent, independently commissioned media polls of Minnesota likely voters reported the following. These are individual survey results—not a prediction or an election outcome. 14 15

Star Tribune / KARE 11

Oct. 5–7 · Mason-Dixon · 800 likely voters · ±3.5 percentage points
Poll listing ↗
Flanagan
47%
Tafoya
43%
Other / unsure
10%

SurveyUSA / KSTP partner stations

Oct. 8–12 · 718 likely voters · margin of error varies by source
Poll record ↗
Flanagan
45%
Tafoya
42%
Other candidates
4%
Undecided
9%
SurveyUSA includes 2% support each for Simonetti and Whiting. The Mason-Dixon “other / unsure” figure combines categories and can differ slightly due to rounding. Different sampling methods and turnout assumptions mean small differences should not be overinterpreted. See the broader polling record ↗. 14 15 16
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06RECENT DEVELOPMENTS

Recent developments

2026 OPEN SEAT

Tina Smith decides not to seek reelection

Smith's retirement created an open Senate contest. After the primaries, Flanagan and Tafoya became the major-party nominees. 6 7 12

FRAUD & OVERSIGHT

Who bears responsibility for state-program failures?

Tafoya cites fraud in Minnesota-administered programs as a reason to challenge the Walz–Flanagan administration. Flanagan acknowledges the need for stronger fraud prevention and points to federal watchdog and ethics reforms. The scope of individual responsibility is disputed; no criminal wrongdoing by Flanagan is established by the reporting cited here. 6 7 8

OCTOBER 2026

Trump's endorsement and campaign independence

President Donald Trump endorsed Tafoya shortly before the debate. She has emphasized her willingness to disagree with her party; Flanagan questions that independence. These are opposing campaign arguments, not findings about future Senate votes. 8 20

OCTOBER 16

One-on-one debate covers federal choices

At an MPR News debate, the candidates addressed abortion, immigration enforcement, tariffs, Social Security and the Iran war. Tafoya said the war should end strategically after earlier supporting intervention; Flanagan said she opposed it from the start. Read or watch the debate ↗ 8 21

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07VOTING

Voting information

The Senate contest appears statewide. Other races depend on your address. Use the Minnesota Secretary of State’s official sample ballot, registration tools and polling-place information; Northline does not need your home address.

Election Day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026. This static preview does not collect names, addresses, voting history or personal data. 3 22 23

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08SOURCES

Sources and methods

Numbered citations link to the sources listed below. Campaign proposals are attributed to the candidates.

Research checkedOctober 17, 2026
Reporting standardSame sources for both sides
Editorial approachNo endorsements or rankings
  1. 01
    U.S. Senate powers and procedures ↗United States Senate · Official
  2. 02
    U.S. Senate voting, including cloture rules ↗United States Senate · Official
  3. 03
    Minnesota 2026 ballot overview ↗Minnesota Secretary of State · Official
  4. 04
    Peggy Flanagan: 2026 campaign priorities ↗Peggy Flanagan for Minnesota · Campaign
  5. 05
    Michele Tafoya: 2026 campaign issues ↗Michele Tafoya for U.S. Senate · Campaign
  6. 06
    Peggy Flanagan: WCCO candidate questionnaire ↗WCCO / CBS Minnesota · Oct. 13, 2026 · Candidate Q&A
  7. 07
    Michele Tafoya: WCCO candidate questionnaire ↗WCCO / CBS Minnesota · Oct. 13, 2026 · Candidate Q&A
  8. 08
    Oct. 16 Senate debate: full report and video ↗MPR News · Oct. 16, 2026 · Debate/reporting
  9. 09
    Minnesota Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan official biography ↗Office of the Governor of Minnesota · Official
  10. 10
    Peggy Flanagan legislative service, 2015–2018 ↗Minnesota Legislative Reference Library · Official
  11. 11
    Michele Tafoya candidate biography ↗Michele Tafoya for U.S. Senate · Campaign
  12. 12
    Michele Tafoya campaign launch and background ↗Associated Press · Feb. 2026 · Reporting
  13. 13
    Minnesota candidate filings: U.S. Senator ↗Minnesota Secretary of State · Official
  14. 14
    KSTP/SurveyUSA Senate poll, Oct. 8–12 ↗SurveyUSA poll record via PollingForecast · Polling
  15. 15
    Star Tribune/KARE 11 poll, Mason-Dixon Oct. 5–7 ↗Minnesota Poll results via The Hill / DDHQ · Polling
  16. 16
    Minnesota Senate public polling tracker ↗RealClearPolling · Polling aggregate
  17. 17
    WCCO: Flanagan candidate answers on fraud, deficits and healthcare ↗WCCO / CBS Minnesota · Oct. 13, 2026 · Candidate Q&A
  18. 18
    WCCO: Tafoya candidate answers on fraud, tariffs and healthcare ↗WCCO / CBS Minnesota · Oct. 13, 2026 · Candidate Q&A
  19. 19
    Minnesota government: 2019–2026 signature accomplishments ↗Office of Governor Tim Walz and Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan · Official
  20. 20
    What to know before the first U.S. Senate debate ↗Axios Twin Cities · Oct. 16, 2026 · Reporting
  21. 21
    First debate: key moments ↗MPR News · Oct. 16, 2026 · Reporting
  22. 22
    Minnesota official sample-ballot lookup ↗Minnesota Secretary of State · Official
  23. 23
    Minnesota voting instructions ↗Minnesota Secretary of State · Official
  24. 24
  25. 25
    Photo of Flanagan, official press kit ↗Office of Minnesota Governor · Image source
  26. 26
    Tafoya photo and candidate background ↗KAXE / NPR affiliate · July 14, 2026 · Image source

Preview images reference the Minnesota Governor's press kit and a KAXE campaign portrait. Remote portraits may not display offline; the page falls back to initials. Confirm licensing and permissions before publication. 25 26

Editorial note

AI tools assisted in researching and drafting this guide. The editor and an AI model reviewed sources and made efforts to verify the information, but factual errors or omissions may remain. This guide is not exhaustive. The selection of topics, summaries, and presentation reflect editorial judgment; no candidate endorsement is implied. Positions and polling may change. Readers are encouraged to consult the original sources linked throughout.

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